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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.54vs Predicted
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3American University0.05-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.45+0.33vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.31-0.89vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.99-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Virginia Tech1.1257.5%1st Place
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3.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.839.3%1st Place
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2.55American University0.0520.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.454.6%1st Place
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4.11Penn State University-1.315.9%1st Place
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4.85William and Mary-1.992.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 57.5% | 28.6% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 9.3% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 24.8% | 18.5% | 8.9% |
| Karl Wagerson | 20.2% | 32.9% | 26.2% | 13.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.6% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 28.4% | 23.9% |
| Joaquin Merino | 5.9% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 24.1% | 21.1% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.