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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+2.50vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+0.47vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.31+1.16vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.12-2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.68vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.99-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.838.8%1st Place
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2.47American University0.0521.1%1st Place
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4.16Penn State University-1.314.9%1st Place
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1.59Virginia Tech1.1257.5%1st Place
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4.32University of Maryland-1.455.0%1st Place
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4.95William and Mary-1.992.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Powell | 8.8% | 15.7% | 24.6% | 26.2% | 17.9% | 7.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 21.1% | 34.5% | 26.5% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Joaquin Merino | 4.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 25.2% | 20.0% |
| Sam Springer | 57.5% | 28.9% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.0% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 28.0% | 24.3% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 23.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.