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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.52vs Predicted
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3American University0.05-0.47vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.99+0.92vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.31-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.45-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Virginia Tech1.1258.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.838.5%1st Place
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2.53American University0.0521.1%1st Place
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4.92William and Mary-1.992.6%1st Place
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4.09Penn State University-1.315.5%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.454.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 58.0% | 27.9% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 8.5% | 15.6% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 18.8% | 7.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 21.1% | 32.2% | 26.6% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 22.7% | 47.9% |
| Joaquin Merino | 5.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 18.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.2% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 28.3% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.