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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.92+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.01+0.43vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.99+0.57vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.31-1.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.98-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Virginia Tech0.9265.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8311.9%1st Place
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3.43University of Maryland-1.019.2%1st Place
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4.57William and Mary-1.993.8%1st Place
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3.73Penn State University-1.316.8%1st Place
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4.63Georgetown University-1.983.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 65.1% | 25.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Powell | 11.9% | 23.1% | 25.3% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 9.2% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 36.5% |
| Joaquin Merino | 6.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 23.2% | 20.6% | 12.3% |
| Thomas Clauson | 3.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.