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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.92+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.01+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+0.13vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.99+0.62vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.31-1.28vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.98-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Virginia Tech0.9264.3%1st Place
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3.41University of Maryland-1.0110.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8311.4%1st Place
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4.62William and Mary-1.993.4%1st Place
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3.72Penn State University-1.317.5%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University-1.983.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 64.3% | 24.9% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 10.1% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Henry Powell | 11.4% | 24.9% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 38.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 7.5% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 11.8% |
| Thomas Clauson | 3.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.