Race 1B

north-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Davis 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 4.9% 6.7% 8.7% 9.6% 14.2% 14.6% 18.9% 13.6%
Benjamin Pedrick 14.3% 14.5% 17.9% 14.6% 13.9% 9.1% 9.0% 3.7% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Riihiluoma 16.4% 18.5% 16.1% 16.2% 15.0% 8.6% 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Lee 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 7.4% 9.0% 13.0% 13.9% 13.1% 10.8% 8.6% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Peter Stemler 31.8% 23.2% 19.7% 12.8% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Cowley 5.7% 7.6% 8.4% 9.8% 12.6% 14.0% 12.5% 11.4% 8.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Hannah Burroughs 16.9% 14.8% 15.7% 17.3% 12.8% 10.2% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Amery 1.5% 3.9% 2.7% 4.1% 6.1% 6.8% 9.4% 12.7% 14.9% 13.8% 12.1% 7.8% 4.2%
Thomas Maher 4.3% 7.0% 5.9% 6.9% 10.0% 13.1% 14.4% 11.6% 12.2% 8.6% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Kenton Stutz 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 3.3% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 7.6% 9.1% 10.3% 15.9% 16.4% 23.7%
Maryan Gonnerman 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.3% 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 10.1% 12.6% 16.5% 18.3% 18.3%
Trevor Fournier 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 9.9% 12.2% 20.0% 30.3%
Ashley Eberhard 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 6.3% 7.2% 11.4% 13.3% 13.6% 15.2% 13.4% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.