Race 10A

charleston-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Allison Blecher 22.3% 19.5% 15.4% 14.8% 12.8% 7.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Magill 9.5% 11.6% 11.3% 10.9% 13.2% 10.4% 12.6% 8.6% 8.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Stephanie Roble 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 12.6% 10.5% 12.6% 11.7% 11.7% 8.6% 3.4% 0.7%
Christina Pryne 6.4% 8.3% 7.6% 9.2% 10.6% 12.0% 14.1% 12.4% 11.3% 7.0% 1.1%
Rachael Silverstein 3.6% 4.9% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 8.7% 11.1% 11.0% 17.5% 22.2% 3.9%
Shannon Heausler 10.1% 9.3% 11.8% 12.8% 12.0% 12.2% 10.0% 8.5% 7.4% 5.3% 0.6%
Claire Dennis 9.0% 8.3% 10.1% 9.7% 11.1% 11.7% 10.7% 12.5% 10.4% 6.0% 0.5%
Charlotte Dorris 5.0% 4.5% 6.2% 7.7% 8.0% 9.8% 10.8% 14.9% 13.2% 17.3% 2.6%
Christine Porter 2.6% 4.2% 4.7% 3.7% 5.2% 6.3% 8.0% 12.9% 17.4% 28.9% 6.1%
Sarah Hughes 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 2.6% 3.2% 6.6% 83.7%
Sydney Bolger 22.3% 19.9% 17.6% 12.7% 9.1% 8.3% 4.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.