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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.62+1.73vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.16+0.14vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University0.26+0.20vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19-0.81vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.70-0.68vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Rochester Institute of Technology0.6222.4%1st Place
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2.14Queen's University1.1638.1%1st Place
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3.2Mercyhurst University0.2615.8%1st Place
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3.19Syracuse University0.1915.2%1st Place
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4.32Penn State University-0.706.3%1st Place
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5.41Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 22.4% | 24.8% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| James Fair | 38.1% | 28.1% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Moira Sullivan | 15.8% | 17.4% | 22.0% | 24.4% | 16.0% | 4.3% |
| Alexa Whitman | 15.2% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 40.9% | 18.2% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.