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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.98vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.20+2.34vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.58+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49+2.66vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.52+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.34vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.10-1.96vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-1.36vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.61-2.70vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.09-4.92vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.97-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Rice University0.9429.0%1st Place
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4.34Indiana University0.2013.3%1st Place
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6.51Bates College-0.586.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Minnesota-0.495.3%1st Place
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6.61Clemson University-0.525.3%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-0.386.6%1st Place
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5.04Purdue University-0.1010.4%1st Place
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6.64Hope College-0.775.1%1st Place
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6.3Bentley University-0.616.9%1st Place
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5.08Marquette University-0.0910.2%1st Place
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9.49Middlebury College-1.971.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 29.0% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sunny Sun | 13.3% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Nash | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| William Avery | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Sean Lund | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Nathanael Green | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.5% |
| Isabel Walchli | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Eli Erling | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.