Race 10B

mcsa-coed-qualifiers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Beriont 5.3% 4.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 13.9% 13.3% 12.2% 11.1% 9.5% 4.3% 0.7%
Adam Gilbertson 3.0% 4.8% 5.5% 8.5% 7.6% 9.4% 12.4% 13.8% 13.1% 13.4% 6.5% 2.0%
Leif Evensen 39.4% 26.8% 16.9% 9.0% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aras Karaitis 4.7% 5.1% 7.2% 11.2% 12.7% 12.1% 12.0% 13.1% 9.9% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0%
Medora Sletten 5.0% 5.5% 9.8% 10.9% 10.1% 11.9% 12.2% 11.8% 9.7% 8.0% 4.1% 1.0%
Geoff Pedrick 16.0% 18.0% 18.0% 15.2% 13.6% 7.4% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 5.1% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 12.3% 11.1% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5%
Jamie Gay 2.3% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 10.2% 13.9% 16.8% 17.3% 6.3%
Matthew Thompson 13.6% 19.2% 16.7% 14.9% 13.1% 10.3% 5.6% 3.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Paul Kaplan 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 6.8% 8.7% 10.8% 11.9% 15.5% 13.7% 12.5% 3.7%
William Jaquinde 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.9% 6.1% 7.6% 15.1% 29.3% 26.2%
Colleen Mooney 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 4.4% 7.8% 18.8% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.