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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.92+0.37vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.01+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.37vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.99-0.29vs Predicted
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5American University-2.91-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Virginia Tech0.9270.5%1st Place
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2.88University of Maryland-1.019.8%1st Place
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2.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8313.2%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary-1.994.7%1st Place
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4.41American University-2.911.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 70.5% | 23.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 9.8% | 26.9% | 34.4% | 23.3% | 5.6% |
| Henry Powell | 13.2% | 34.6% | 31.9% | 16.2% | 4.2% |
| Alexa Bodor | 4.7% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 39.7% | 25.8% |
| Julia Kane | 1.9% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 20.0% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.