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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.09vs Predicted
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2American University-1.01+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.87+0.36vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-2.64+0.15vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.00-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Virginia Tech-0.2538.7%1st Place
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3.26American University-1.0116.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.5219.9%1st Place
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4.36University of Maryland-1.876.2%1st Place
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5.15William and Mary-2.643.1%1st Place
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3.22Penn State University-1.0016.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 38.7% | 29.6% | 19.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Curtis | 16.0% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Vance | 19.9% | 20.8% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 11.3% | 3.1% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 33.0% | 25.3% |
| Shelby Woodward | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 19.2% | 59.5% |
| Makenna Labor | 16.2% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.