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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.11vs Predicted
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2American University-1.01+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.87+0.33vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-2.64+0.16vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.00-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Virginia Tech-0.2540.6%1st Place
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3.25American University-1.0114.8%1st Place
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2.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.5220.9%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.875.9%1st Place
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5.16William and Mary-2.642.9%1st Place
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3.25Penn State University-1.0014.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 40.6% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 14.8% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 6.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 20.9% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 33.2% | 23.5% |
| Shelby Woodward | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 18.1% | 60.7% |
| Makenna Labor | 14.9% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.