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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.82vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+1.44vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.27vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.60-1.49vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.78Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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5.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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3.51Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.6Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 50.6% | 26.8% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 19.8% | 27.8% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 28.0% | 23.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 1.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 43.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 11.0% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 21.8% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 12.6% | 77.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 12.6% | 77.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.