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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.47vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87+0.51vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11-2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-1.40+0.66vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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3.47Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.19Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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2.84Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.48Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 49.8% | 27.1% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.8% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 19.2% | 44.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 28.4% | 25.0% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 17.2% | 28.1% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 80.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 13.3% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 80.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.