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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.92+0.49vs Predicted
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2American University-0.91+1.22vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.00+0.42vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.64+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.17-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Virginia Tech0.9264.3%1st Place
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3.22American University-0.9110.7%1st Place
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3.42Penn State University-1.0010.4%1st Place
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5.26William and Mary-2.641.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Maryland-1.177.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.436.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ginsburg | 64.3% | 25.1% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 10.7% | 23.0% | 24.8% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 4.5% |
| Makenna Labor | 10.4% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 7.4% |
| Shelby Woodward | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 64.6% |
| Ethan Fox | 7.0% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 9.7% |
| John TIS | 6.3% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 28.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.