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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.87+2.42vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.48vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11-1.18vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49-1.35vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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4.42University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.48Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.82Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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3.65Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 49.7% | 27.4% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.9% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 28.2% | 22.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.5% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 20.5% | 24.9% | 24.3% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 9.9% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 43.0% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 78.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 78.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.