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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.92+0.48vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.00+1.35vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.17-1.33vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-2.64-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Virginia Tech0.9265.0%1st Place
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3.35Penn State University-1.009.7%1st Place
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3.24American University-0.9110.8%1st Place
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4.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.436.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Maryland-1.177.1%1st Place
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5.25William and Mary-2.641.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ginsburg | 65.0% | 24.4% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Makenna Labor | 9.7% | 21.1% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 6.6% |
| Anika Liner | 10.8% | 22.0% | 24.6% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
| John TIS | 6.0% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 28.1% | 15.4% |
| Ethan Fox | 7.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 23.4% | 9.4% |
| Shelby Woodward | 1.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.