← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.98+0.83vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.11+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.60+0.48vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.87+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University1.49-1.35vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of Toronto-1.40-0.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Toronto-1.40-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.83Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
-
2.77Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
-
3.48Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
-
3.65Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
-
5.21Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
-
6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
-
6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 50.9% | 25.9% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 20.0% | 27.6% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.6% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 27.7% | 25.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 9.9% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 20.0% | 10.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 42.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 77.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 77.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.