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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.81vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.77vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.52vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.87-0.54vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.77Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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3.52Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.6Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 51.3% | 26.9% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 19.6% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.7% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 43.0% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 27.9% | 23.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 11.0% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 12.7% | 76.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 12.7% | 76.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.