Race 11B

mcsa-coed-qualifiers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Thompson 16.9% 16.0% 14.7% 17.0% 12.5% 9.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Christine Porter 24.1% 23.0% 17.8% 11.0% 11.5% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Medora Sletten 7.1% 6.6% 9.0% 9.7% 8.3% 11.3% 13.8% 12.2% 11.3% 7.1% 3.3% 0.3%
Geoff Pedrick 19.5% 20.8% 16.4% 12.8% 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Gilbertson 4.6% 4.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 10.4% 11.6% 12.1% 13.2% 11.1% 8.8% 2.5%
Paul Kaplan 3.8% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.1% 10.0% 11.2% 15.8% 16.2% 12.2% 4.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 10.2% 11.8% 11.0% 11.6% 11.5% 8.5% 8.3% 3.2% 1.6%
Jamie Gay 3.0% 3.1% 4.4% 3.9% 5.9% 7.6% 6.2% 11.1% 13.6% 17.5% 17.9% 5.8%
Aras Karaitis 5.6% 5.9% 9.8% 11.3% 10.5% 12.1% 13.5% 11.1% 10.1% 7.1% 2.7% 0.3%
Lauren Beriont 6.4% 6.8% 7.4% 8.4% 11.2% 10.3% 11.7% 13.7% 11.1% 8.1% 4.1% 0.8%
William Jaquinde 1.7% 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.3% 3.8% 5.4% 8.7% 14.8% 29.5% 26.3%
Colleen Mooney 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 7.7% 17.9% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.