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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+1.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.48-0.08vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.40-0.20vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.80-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.9731.0%1st Place
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1.92Boston University-0.4841.9%1st Place
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2.8Williams College-1.4016.2%1st Place
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3.13Middlebury College-1.8010.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian McCaffrey | 31.0% | 34.8% | 22.9% | 11.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 41.9% | 31.0% | 20.3% | 6.9% |
| Max Harthorne | 16.2% | 18.6% | 33.7% | 31.4% |
| Aidan Ulian | 10.9% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.