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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.17+0.96vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.73vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-2.64-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Virginia Tech-0.2545.9%1st Place
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2.96University of Maryland-1.1715.3%1st Place
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2.55American University-0.9123.8%1st Place
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3.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.4311.7%1st Place
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4.37William and Mary-2.643.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 45.9% | 30.8% | 16.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Fox | 15.3% | 21.1% | 26.3% | 26.9% | 10.4% |
| Anika Liner | 23.8% | 26.3% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 5.2% |
| John TIS | 11.7% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 32.4% | 16.8% |
| Shelby Woodward | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.