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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.79vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.50vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.87-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-1.40+0.64vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.79Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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3.5Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.26Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.49Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 50.6% | 26.7% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 18.4% | 27.6% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 11.8% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 1.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 43.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 28.5% | 24.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 11.1% | 80.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 22.5% | 20.5% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 11.1% | 80.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.