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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+5.88vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+7.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+1.01vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+6.86vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-1.39vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+3.26vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.22+0.10vs Predicted
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9Florida International University0.52+2.33vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.63-0.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.45-5.69vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-2.12vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University0.08-2.83vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.54-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Florida State University1.956.7%1st Place
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9.42Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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4.01College of Charleston2.4919.7%1st Place
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5.53North Carolina State University1.7810.5%1st Place
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11.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Miami2.3215.4%1st Place
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10.26Rollins College0.412.5%1st Place
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8.1Clemson University1.225.7%1st Place
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11.33Florida International University0.522.3%1st Place
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10.35The Citadel1.223.2%1st Place
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10.82University of South Carolina0.632.7%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University-1.387.4%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida1.457.6%1st Place
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11.88Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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12.17Wake Forest University0.081.5%1st Place
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14.0Embry-Riddle University-0.520.9%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.545.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 19.7% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| William Turner | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Emily Allen | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 35.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.