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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.82vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.75vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87+0.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.60-1.48vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.75Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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3.65Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.52Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.2Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 51.1% | 25.8% | 15.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 20.5% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 9.1% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 25.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.6% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 42.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 78.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 78.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.