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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.56vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+0.95vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+6.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+2.38vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.41vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-0.77vs Predicted
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9Florida International University0.52+2.09vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.95-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.84vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-1.88vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.22-5.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina0.63-3.15vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.06-3.09vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.93vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University0.08-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of Miami2.3216.4%1st Place
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5.94North Carolina State University1.789.4%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston2.4920.2%1st Place
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10.36The Citadel1.222.8%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida1.546.3%1st Place
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9.41Florida Institute of Technology0.733.4%1st Place
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7.17Jacksonville University-1.387.8%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida1.456.9%1st Place
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11.09Florida International University0.522.9%1st Place
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6.78Florida State University1.956.9%1st Place
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11.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.2%1st Place
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10.12Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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7.97Clemson University1.225.4%1st Place
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10.85University of South Carolina0.632.1%1st Place
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11.91Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
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14.07Embry-Riddle University-0.521.0%1st Place
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12.38Wake Forest University0.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| William Turner | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.