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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.90vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+3.28vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+4.78vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22+2.38vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-2.76vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52+0.26vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.22-3.96vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.41-2.70vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-2.21vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University0.08-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.63-5.17vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9College of Charleston2.4920.1%1st Place
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5.92North Carolina State University1.7810.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Miami2.3214.8%1st Place
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7.28University of South Florida1.547.1%1st Place
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9.42Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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7.14Jacksonville University-1.387.2%1st Place
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11.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.1%1st Place
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10.38The Citadel1.223.0%1st Place
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6.79Florida State University1.957.4%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.456.8%1st Place
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11.26Florida International University0.521.8%1st Place
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8.04Clemson University1.225.3%1st Place
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10.3Rollins College0.412.2%1st Place
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11.79Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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12.29Wake Forest University0.081.8%1st Place
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10.83University of South Carolina0.632.7%1st Place
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13.99Embry-Riddle University-0.520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 20.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Emily Allen | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| William Turner | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.