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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87+0.51vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-1.40+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.37vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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3.49Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.8Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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5.23Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 49.0% | 26.4% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.4% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 19.5% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 30.0% | 24.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 42.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 79.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 79.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 13.3% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.