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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+5.23vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.63vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+5.63vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+3.93vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06+4.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-1.12vs Predicted
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9Florida International University0.52+1.99vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.95-3.38vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.41-1.01vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.08-0.13vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-9.21vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.17-2.38vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology0.73-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-4.43vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of Miami2.3215.6%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida1.546.8%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University1.7810.7%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University-1.387.7%1st Place
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10.63University of South Carolina0.632.6%1st Place
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9.93The Citadel1.223.6%1st Place
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11.74Duke University0.061.7%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida1.458.2%1st Place
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10.99Florida International University0.522.1%1st Place
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6.62Florida State University1.958.7%1st Place
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9.99Rollins College0.412.2%1st Place
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11.87Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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3.79College of Charleston2.4919.1%1st Place
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11.62Clemson University-0.172.1%1st Place
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9.21Florida Institute of Technology0.733.7%1st Place
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11.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.4%1st Place
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13.77Embry-Riddle University-0.520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 19.1% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.