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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+1.47vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.60-0.54vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.22vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.8Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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3.62Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 48.6% | 28.2% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 18.8% | 27.5% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 27.5% | 22.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 12.7% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 42.5% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 10.9% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 77.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 77.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.