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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.37vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+3.13vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.95+1.57vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+4.64vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06+3.83vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+1.00vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.91vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.22-1.15vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.08-0.01vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.17-1.51vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.17vs Predicted
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15Florida International University0.52-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.63-5.31vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.49-13.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of South Florida1.546.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Miami2.3217.4%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University1.7810.3%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida1.456.7%1st Place
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6.57Florida State University1.957.2%1st Place
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7.06Jacksonville University-1.386.9%1st Place
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11.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.151.8%1st Place
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11.83Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
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10.0Rollins College0.413.5%1st Place
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9.09Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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9.85The Citadel1.224.1%1st Place
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11.99Wake Forest University0.082.0%1st Place
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11.49Clemson University-0.171.6%1st Place
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13.83Embry-Riddle University-0.520.9%1st Place
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10.98Florida International University0.522.4%1st Place
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10.69University of South Carolina0.631.8%1st Place
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3.81College of Charleston2.4921.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 34.6% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Ian Street | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.2% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.