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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+1.46vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11-1.19vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-1.40+0.64vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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3.47Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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2.81Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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5.24Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.49Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 47.2% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.8% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 27.9% | 25.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 19.7% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 20.5% | 41.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 13.1% | 79.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 13.0% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 13.1% | 79.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.