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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+1.45vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.60-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto-1.40+1.64vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49-2.34vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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1.86Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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4.45University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.49Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.66Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 22.1% | 25.6% | 22.5% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 46.5% | 31.5% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 26.7% | 23.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 11.3% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 7.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 81.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 10.3% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 43.6% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 81.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.