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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+5.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.49vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+0.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49-3.01vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.19vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+0.96vs Predicted
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10Florida International University0.52+0.97vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.17+0.66vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.63-1.31vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-1.50vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-2.34vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.22-4.90vs Predicted
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16Wake Forest University0.08-3.98vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Florida State University1.958.5%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University1.7811.2%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida1.456.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Miami2.3216.1%1st Place
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7.08Jacksonville University-1.386.1%1st Place
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6.83University of South Florida1.548.8%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston2.4919.3%1st Place
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9.19Florida Institute of Technology0.733.7%1st Place
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9.96Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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10.97Florida International University0.522.5%1st Place
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11.66Clemson University-0.171.7%1st Place
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10.69University of South Carolina0.632.4%1st Place
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11.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.4%1st Place
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11.66Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
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10.1The Citadel1.222.9%1st Place
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12.02Wake Forest University0.082.0%1st Place
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13.7Embry-Riddle University-0.520.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Ian Street | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.