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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+5.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.86vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+3.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-1.45vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22+3.04vs Predicted
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8Florida International University0.52+2.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+1.67vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+1.47vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08+1.09vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-2.06vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.17-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-6.85vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-3.46vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-6.89vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Florida State University1.958.2%1st Place
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3.86College of Charleston2.4920.3%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University-1.386.7%1st Place
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7.09University of South Florida1.457.0%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University1.7810.5%1st Place
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4.55University of Miami2.3215.5%1st Place
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10.04The Citadel1.222.9%1st Place
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10.94Florida International University0.522.3%1st Place
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10.67University of South Carolina0.632.9%1st Place
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11.47Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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12.09Wake Forest University0.081.8%1st Place
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9.94Rollins College0.413.1%1st Place
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11.51Clemson University-0.172.2%1st Place
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7.15University of South Florida1.547.0%1st Place
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11.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.2%1st Place
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9.11Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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13.86Embry-Riddle University-0.520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.3% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.