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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+1.46vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49-0.39vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.60-1.48vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.40-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
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2.78Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
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3.61Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.52Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 50.0% | 26.2% | 16.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 19.8% | 28.5% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 28.9% | 22.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 10.9% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.6% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 43.4% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 11.8% | 77.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 11.8% | 77.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.