← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.98+0.82vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University1.49+1.61vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.60+0.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.87+0.49vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.11-2.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Toronto-1.40+0.65vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-1.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Toronto-1.40-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.82Roger Williams University2.980.5%1st Place
-
3.61Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
-
3.5Cornell University1.600.1%1st Place
-
4.49University of Buffalo0.870.1%1st Place
-
2.84Fordham University2.110.2%1st Place
-
6.65University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
-
5.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
-
6.65University of Toronto-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 51.9% | 25.8% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 10.3% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 10.5% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 27.4% | 24.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 18.1% | 28.2% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 42.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Vinci | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.