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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.51vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+4.56vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.61vs Predicted
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4Florida International University0.52+6.84vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49-1.19vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41+4.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.540.00vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-1.04vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38-2.01vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.67vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08+1.14vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-0.33vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-2.97vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina0.63-3.31vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.17-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-4.31vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Miami2.3215.2%1st Place
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6.56Florida State University1.958.4%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University1.7810.9%1st Place
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10.84Florida International University0.522.4%1st Place
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3.81College of Charleston2.4920.8%1st Place
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10.0Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida1.547.8%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.457.2%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University-1.387.0%1st Place
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9.33Florida Institute of Technology0.732.9%1st Place
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12.14Wake Forest University0.081.4%1st Place
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11.67Duke University0.061.9%1st Place
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10.03The Citadel1.223.0%1st Place
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10.69University of South Carolina0.632.6%1st Place
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11.39Clemson University-0.172.3%1st Place
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11.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.151.8%1st Place
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13.78Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.8% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.