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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.19vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-0.08vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.69-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-2.11vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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2.92Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
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3.25Ocean County College0.690.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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4.5Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 37.8% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Andy Peck | 21.6% | 22.8% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 16.9% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 10.2% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 36.7% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 23.0% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.