← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.73+7.27vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.23+2.68vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.09+4.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.93+1.21vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.55+0.43vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.62-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.10+2.83vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.34-1.38vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina1.18-1.58vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.19+0.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-0.46+0.95vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.51-2.91vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida0.90-5.79vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.11vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.83vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.83vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-0.83-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.27Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
-
4.68College of Charleston2.2315.7%1st Place
-
7.01North Carolina State University1.097.7%1st Place
-
5.21University of Miami1.9312.7%1st Place
-
5.43Jacksonville University1.5511.5%1st Place
-
5.68Florida State University1.6211.2%1st Place
-
9.83Rollins College0.103.0%1st Place
-
6.62Eckerd College1.348.1%1st Place
-
7.42University of South Carolina1.186.8%1st Place
-
10.21The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
-
11.95University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
-
9.09Wake Forest University0.513.6%1st Place
-
7.21University of South Florida0.906.7%1st Place
-
12.89Embry-Riddle University-0.581.4%1st Place
-
13.17Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.9%1st Place
-
15.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.5%1st Place
-
13.17Duke University-0.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 10.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 51.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.