Race 12B

mcsa-coed-qualifiers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Thompson 16.8% 16.5% 16.8% 14.1% 11.9% 10.2% 7.0% 3.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Christine Porter 24.2% 24.3% 16.0% 12.9% 9.3% 6.9% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Beriont 6.7% 5.9% 7.9% 7.7% 9.6% 10.4% 12.4% 13.6% 12.9% 7.6% 4.1% 1.2%
Medora Sletten 4.9% 7.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.5% 12.0% 11.7% 11.3% 11.1% 6.7% 4.2% 0.8%
Paul Kaplan 3.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.7% 10.9% 14.4% 15.4% 11.9% 5.1%
Adam Gilbertson 4.7% 4.2% 7.8% 6.7% 6.3% 10.5% 11.6% 12.5% 12.7% 14.3% 6.7% 2.0%
Aras Karaitis 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 10.7% 10.4% 11.1% 11.5% 12.0% 9.8% 7.0% 4.0% 0.8%
Geoff Pedrick 23.4% 17.6% 16.2% 11.3% 12.8% 7.3% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 4.8% 8.1% 7.9% 11.5% 12.1% 12.4% 12.5% 11.0% 8.9% 7.2% 3.2% 0.4%
Colleen Mooney 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 2.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 8.7% 18.6% 55.7%
Jamie Gay 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 7.4% 8.5% 10.9% 13.6% 18.0% 15.7% 8.4%
William Jaquinde 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 3.5% 6.3% 8.3% 13.5% 31.1% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.