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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+4.12vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+4.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+0.69vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62+0.62vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.34+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18+0.44vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73+0.23vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.55-3.56vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+3.21vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.46+0.96vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-2.08vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.51-3.79vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.19-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.13vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.14vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.83-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Miami1.9312.2%1st Place
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6.96North Carolina State University1.098.2%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida0.906.5%1st Place
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4.69College of Charleston2.2314.4%1st Place
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5.62Florida State University1.6212.7%1st Place
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6.79Eckerd College1.348.1%1st Place
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7.44University of South Carolina1.186.8%1st Place
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8.23Clemson University0.734.6%1st Place
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5.44Jacksonville University1.5511.5%1st Place
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13.21Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Central Florida-0.461.8%1st Place
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9.92Rollins College0.103.2%1st Place
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9.21Wake Forest University0.513.5%1st Place
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10.11The Citadel0.192.7%1st Place
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15.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.5%1st Place
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12.86Embry-Riddle University-0.581.5%1st Place
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13.28Duke University-0.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 49.6% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.