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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.69+2.32vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-1.09vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-2.12vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Ocean County College0.690.1%1st Place
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2.91Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
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2.12Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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4.5Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Donnelly | 14.5% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Andy Peck | 21.8% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Casey Brown | 40.2% | 27.4% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 10.5% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 18.5% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 35.8% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 24.0% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.