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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-0.06vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56-1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.11vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.69-2.72vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
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2.14Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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3.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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3.28Ocean County College0.690.1%1st Place
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4.51Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Peck | 20.5% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% |
| Casey Brown | 41.2% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 18.6% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 14.5% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 7.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 36.9% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.