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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+6.44vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+5.04vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+7.18vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.10+5.74vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+0.10vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90+0.11vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-2.39vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-4.36vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-3.24vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.51-1.80vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.58+0.75vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-7.48vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-1.94vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-1.99vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.79vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44University of South Carolina1.186.2%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University1.097.5%1st Place
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10.18The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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9.74Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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5.1University of Miami1.9313.7%1st Place
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8.33Clemson University0.734.2%1st Place
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7.11University of South Florida0.907.5%1st Place
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5.61Florida State University1.6210.9%1st Place
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4.64College of Charleston2.2316.6%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College1.347.7%1st Place
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9.2Wake Forest University0.513.5%1st Place
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12.75Embry-Riddle University-0.581.5%1st Place
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5.52Jacksonville University1.5510.3%1st Place
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12.06University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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13.01Duke University-0.831.5%1st Place
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13.21Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.9%1st Place
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15.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
| Matthew King | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 14.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.