← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Webb Institute1.56+0.17vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.69-0.75vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-0.17-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.03vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
-
2.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
-
3.25Ocean County College0.690.2%1st Place
-
4.46Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
3.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
-
4.25U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 38.4% | 28.8% | 18.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Andy Peck | 21.9% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 16.5% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 7.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 34.5% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 21.9% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.