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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+0.94vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-1.06vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.69-1.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.75vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.46vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.71-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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2.94Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
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3.27Ocean County College0.690.2%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
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4.54Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.05Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Rybczynski | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| Andy Peck | 20.8% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 15.6% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 28.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 22.7% | 37.2% |
| Nathan Fast | 41.4% | 28.2% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.