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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+6.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.25vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+2.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+0.56vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-0.74vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+0.10vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19+2.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.90-1.72vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.46+1.06vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-2.06vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.51-3.87vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.83-0.77vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.84vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.58-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34University of South Carolina1.186.2%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.5512.2%1st Place
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5.77Florida State University1.6211.0%1st Place
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4.56College of Charleston2.2315.8%1st Place
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6.75Eckerd College1.347.3%1st Place
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5.26University of Miami1.9311.2%1st Place
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7.1North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
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10.11The Citadel0.193.4%1st Place
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7.28University of South Florida0.907.2%1st Place
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8.11Clemson University0.735.6%1st Place
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12.06University of Central Florida-0.461.8%1st Place
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9.94Rollins College0.103.0%1st Place
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9.13Wake Forest University0.514.0%1st Place
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13.23Duke University-0.830.9%1st Place
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13.15Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.8%1st Place
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15.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.7%1st Place
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12.81Embry-Riddle University-0.581.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Travers | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 13.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 50.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.