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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+4.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+2.81vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+4.10vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+4.08vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.10+4.74vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-0.89vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.51+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.18-0.65vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.13vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.46+1.06vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.55-6.58vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-6.86vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-1.79vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Florida State University1.6210.4%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston2.2314.0%1st Place
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7.1North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
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8.08Clemson University0.735.7%1st Place
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9.74Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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5.11University of Miami1.9313.9%1st Place
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9.18Wake Forest University0.514.3%1st Place
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7.35University of South Carolina1.186.2%1st Place
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13.13Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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6.72Eckerd College1.347.8%1st Place
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12.06University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University1.5512.0%1st Place
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10.07The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida0.907.0%1st Place
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13.21Duke University-0.830.9%1st Place
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12.8Embry-Riddle University-0.581.3%1st Place
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15.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Travers | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| David Manley | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| matthew Monts | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| Matthew King | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 11.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.