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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy0.00+2.21vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-1.06vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.69-2.69vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
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2.94Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
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3.31Ocean County College0.690.2%1st Place
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4.54Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 42.9% | 27.5% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Pinnell | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 27.8% |
| Andy Peck | 19.7% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 15.2% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 37.8% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.