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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.34+5.85vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+8.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.40vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+3.99vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+0.31vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+0.06vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.64-2.99vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.18-2.57vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.51-1.74vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+0.25vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.10-3.10vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.06vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-1.67vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-3.87vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Eckerd College1.348.6%1st Place
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10.25The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
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5.4Jacksonville University1.5511.4%1st Place
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7.99Clemson University0.736.0%1st Place
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4.82College of Charleston2.2314.0%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida1.198.8%1st Place
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7.06North Carolina State University1.098.2%1st Place
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5.77Florida State University1.6211.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Miami1.6410.5%1st Place
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7.43University of South Carolina1.185.9%1st Place
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9.26Wake Forest University0.513.7%1st Place
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12.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.481.8%1st Place
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9.9Rollins College0.103.2%1st Place
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12.94Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
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13.33Duke University-0.830.9%1st Place
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12.13University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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15.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Matthew King | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 14.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.