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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-0.17+3.49vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.69-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.71-3.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.65vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.3Ocean County College0.690.2%1st Place
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3.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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2.02Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
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2.97Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Herlihy | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 36.1% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 15.9% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 9.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 11.1% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 17.5% |
| Nathan Fast | 40.1% | 33.4% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Pinnell | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 31.7% |
| Andy Peck | 20.1% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.