← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Webb Institute1.71+0.04vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-0.17+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Ocean County College0.69-1.70vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.79vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology0.93-3.91vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
-
4.42Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
3.3Ocean County College0.690.1%1st Place
-
4.21U. S. Military Academy0.000.1%1st Place
-
3.09Rochester Institute of Technology0.930.2%1st Place
-
3.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 43.5% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 35.9% |
| Kyle Donnelly | 14.8% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Jack Pinnell | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 27.0% |
| Andy Peck | 18.0% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 9.7% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.