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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+6.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+5.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+1.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+1.56vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.58+7.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+0.50vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.51+2.13vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.34-1.17vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62-3.24vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-0.08vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.64-6.04vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-0.79vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-5.82vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.34vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.83-2.60vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.19-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0North Carolina State University1.098.7%1st Place
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7.26University of South Carolina1.187.5%1st Place
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4.6College of Charleston2.2316.2%1st Place
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5.56Jacksonville University1.5511.5%1st Place
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12.83Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
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6.5University of South Florida1.198.9%1st Place
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9.13Wake Forest University0.514.2%1st Place
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6.83Eckerd College1.347.3%1st Place
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5.76Florida State University1.6210.1%1st Place
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9.92Rollins College0.102.8%1st Place
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12.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.481.3%1st Place
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5.96University of Miami1.6410.2%1st Place
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12.21University of Central Florida-0.461.5%1st Place
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8.18Clemson University0.734.9%1st Place
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15.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.3%1st Place
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13.4Duke University-0.830.9%1st Place
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10.21The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 11.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Travers | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| matthew Monts | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 53.9% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 15.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.