← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.29+0.27vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College0.79-0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Ocean County College-1.75-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-2.22-1.43vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-3.41-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.27Webb Institute2.290.8%1st Place
-
2.04Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
-
3.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
4.07Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
-
4.57Penn State University-2.220.0%1st Place
-
5.54U. S. Military Academy-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 75.9% | 21.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 19.3% | 60.4% | 17.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 3.3% | 8.4% | 39.9% | 32.4% | 14.2% | 1.8% |
| Emily McCarthy | 0.8% | 5.5% | 23.4% | 33.5% | 29.5% | 7.3% |
| Emma Stevenson | 0.6% | 3.4% | 12.6% | 25.0% | 38.9% | 19.5% |
| James Trollan | 0.1% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 16.8% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.