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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.45vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+2.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+4.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.61vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.31+4.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33-0.40vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+0.70vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+1.10vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-3.63vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-3.21vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.66-3.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.90vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.05-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.5%1st Place
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4.74Boston College2.0916.2%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.257.4%1st Place
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7.61Boston University1.146.3%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Pennsylvania1.7210.0%1st Place
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6.6Brown University1.339.0%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University0.954.6%1st Place
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10.1Salve Regina University0.834.0%1st Place
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8.54Fordham University1.134.9%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida1.095.9%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College0.654.8%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Michigan0.052.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.