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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.54vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+8.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+3.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.65+4.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+4.14vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+2.56vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+1.41vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25-0.53vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-5.30vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.09-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.0%1st Place
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10.19Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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6.5Brown University1.338.8%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College0.654.7%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University0.664.3%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University0.954.7%1st Place
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8.41Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University1.257.6%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.0916.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont1.313.7%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania1.729.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University1.147.8%1st Place
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11.25University of Michigan0.052.4%1st Place
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7.28University of South Florida1.096.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 28.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.