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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Penn State University-2.22+2.51vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29-1.76vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.46vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.75-1.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.41-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Penn State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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1.24Webb Institute2.290.8%1st Place
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2.04Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.14Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Military Academy-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Stevenson | 0.9% | 2.8% | 14.3% | 26.0% | 38.3% | 17.7% |
| Cody Stansky | 77.7% | 20.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 18.5% | 62.2% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 1.7% | 9.5% | 41.2% | 30.3% | 15.1% | 2.2% |
| Emily McCarthy | 0.9% | 4.7% | 22.7% | 33.4% | 28.1% | 10.2% |
| James Trollan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 18.1% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.