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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.31+8.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.33+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+4.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66+3.06vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+1.62vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83+2.35vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-3.90vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-6.16vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.05-0.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.25-5.44vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17University of Vermont1.314.4%1st Place
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6.69Brown University1.337.6%1st Place
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7.55Boston University1.147.0%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.8%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.2%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University0.663.8%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University1.135.1%1st Place
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10.35Salve Regina University0.833.1%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University0.955.2%1st Place
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6.1University of South Florida1.6010.8%1st Place
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4.84Boston College2.0914.5%1st Place
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11.44University of Michigan0.051.8%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University1.256.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania1.729.8%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College0.654.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 30.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.