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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.75+0.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.17+0.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-1.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.02-1.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.15vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.67-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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3.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.54Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 28.0% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 15.4% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 23.6% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.