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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+6.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+3.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+0.91vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.83+5.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+2.20vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.65+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-0.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.90vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-5.32vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-2.63vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.8%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida1.609.3%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.0913.6%1st Place
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10.3Salve Regina University0.833.0%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University1.256.3%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont1.313.7%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College0.654.8%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania1.729.8%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.5%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.338.6%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University0.955.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Michigan0.052.1%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 28.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.