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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-2.22+3.51vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.79-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.48vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29-3.77vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.75-1.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.41-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Penn State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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2.08Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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1.23Webb Institute2.290.8%1st Place
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4.13Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Military Academy-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Stevenson | 0.9% | 3.1% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 39.3% | 17.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 16.9% | 62.4% | 16.5% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.4% | 9.1% | 41.1% | 30.2% | 15.4% | 1.8% |
| Cody Stansky | 78.6% | 20.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 1.0% | 4.4% | 23.4% | 32.9% | 27.9% | 10.4% |
| James Trollan | 0.2% | 0.8% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.