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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.21vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+8.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+3.97vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+2.53vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60-1.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.33-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.31-0.78vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65-2.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.25-4.18vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-2.72vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of Pennsylvania1.729.6%1st Place
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10.34Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.4%1st Place
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7.68Boston University1.146.2%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University0.663.9%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University1.135.0%1st Place
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4.93Boston College2.0915.0%1st Place
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6.24University of South Florida1.6010.4%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.339.8%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont1.314.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College0.654.9%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University1.255.8%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University0.954.4%1st Place
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11.28University of Michigan0.052.2%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 27.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.