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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ocean County College0.79-0.47vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.22+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.69vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.17-2.74vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.75-1.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.41-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Ocean County College0.790.6%1st Place
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4.4Penn State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.26Webb Institute-0.170.2%1st Place
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4.01Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Military Academy-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 60.2% | 29.6% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Stevenson | 2.2% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 23.5% | 37.8% | 17.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 9.5% | 15.1% | 29.9% | 28.3% | 14.9% | 2.3% |
| Troy Zangle | 23.8% | 38.8% | 26.4% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily McCarthy | 3.7% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 9.9% |
| James Trollan | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.