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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+0.51vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-1.75+1.92vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.17-1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.69vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.22-1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.41-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Ocean County College0.790.6%1st Place
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3.92Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.27Webb Institute-0.170.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.49Penn State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Military Academy-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 61.3% | 29.1% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily McCarthy | 3.6% | 9.4% | 21.7% | 30.8% | 26.1% | 8.4% |
| Troy Zangle | 23.7% | 39.5% | 24.8% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Cormier | 8.5% | 14.9% | 31.3% | 29.3% | 14.0% | 2.0% |
| Emma Stevenson | 2.2% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 40.6% | 19.0% |
| James Trollan | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 17.6% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.