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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+3.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.31+6.39vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.34vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+3.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+1.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+1.66vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83+2.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-1.79vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-3.42vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-2.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-3.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.25-5.45vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-2.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Boston College2.0916.2%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.5%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania1.728.6%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University1.135.8%1st Place
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7.51Boston University1.147.7%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University0.955.2%1st Place
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10.12Salve Regina University0.833.3%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida1.096.5%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.339.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University0.664.8%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College0.653.5%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University1.256.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Michigan0.052.4%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 29.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.