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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.33+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+1.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+2.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+1.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+1.17vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.05+0.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-2.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-5.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.66-4.93vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.09-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Old Dominion University0.955.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.337.5%1st Place
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6.14University of Pennsylvania1.7210.8%1st Place
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5.84University of South Florida1.6010.5%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.257.3%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.9%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.608.1%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University0.833.6%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University1.134.3%1st Place
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11.09University of Michigan0.052.8%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College0.523.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston University1.147.0%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University0.664.8%1st Place
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4.71Boston College2.0917.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 26.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.