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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+8.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+6.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+2.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+0.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.49+3.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-2.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-1.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+0.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-3.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.27-6.47vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.70vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-2.61vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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14.39University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 25.6% |
| Michael Booker | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 40.8% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.