Race 9A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Snead 8.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.6% 6.4% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 5.1% 3.2% 2.9%
Caroline Sibilly 16.1% 15.2% 13.3% 12.8% 9.8% 9.1% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Kay Brunsvold 11.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.7% 7.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.1% 4.0% 6.4% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 6.4% 8.3% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 10.3% 8.4%
Meredith Broadus 5.2% 5.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 7.8% 7.6% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2%
Tiare Sierra 6.4% 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 6.7% 5.5% 3.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 6.9% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 6.9% 6.3% 5.6% 3.8%
Charlotte Costikyan 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.5% 7.8% 9.2% 6.3% 7.2% 7.0% 5.5% 4.7% 3.8% 1.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.5% 5.3% 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.3% 8.6% 6.5%
Torrey Chisari 10.5% 9.6% 9.6% 10.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 6.6% 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.4%
Brooke Barry 4.0% 5.5% 4.7% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.6% 8.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.3%
Grace Gear 5.1% 5.9% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 12.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 4.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.8% 9.3% 9.9% 13.8% 19.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.6% 3.0% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.1% 6.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.6% 10.8% 12.5% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.