Race 12A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grace Gear 4.8% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 12.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 5.6% 5.5% 7.5% 8.1% 10.8% 13.4% 20.3%
Emma Snead 7.5% 8.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.8% 7.6% 7.4% 6.1% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3%
Kay Brunsvold 12.1% 9.1% 10.4% 9.0% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.1% 5.9% 3.8% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2%
Caroline Sibilly 16.8% 14.2% 13.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.5% 6.6% 5.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 8.3% 7.3% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 6.7% 6.8% 5.3% 3.8%
Brooke Barry 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.6% 10.0% 11.5% 12.6%
Torrey Chisari 10.4% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.6% 5.7% 6.1% 4.2% 3.1% 1.6%
Meredith Broadus 4.3% 5.1% 5.4% 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 8.5% 10.1% 11.5%
Aili Moffet 4.3% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 6.6% 7.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.5% 10.0% 9.3%
Charlotte Costikyan 8.6% 9.6% 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.7%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 7.0% 6.2% 7.8% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 8.1% 9.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.5%
Tiare Sierra 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.