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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+8.06vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+3.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+5.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+1.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-1.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.49+1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-2.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.54vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.48vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.69-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.93-2.83vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-2.62vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University3.26-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.73Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.54Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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14.38University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% |
| Michael Booker | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 24.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 40.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.