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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+6.22vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+6.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+6.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+4.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+1.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+3.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-1.32vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-1.78vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-3.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.51vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.27-6.42vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-4.55vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.52-2.60vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.49-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.4University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 24.2% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 39.8% |
| Ben Lamont | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.