Race 13A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Sibilly 15.8% 13.6% 13.4% 11.7% 10.9% 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 4.9% 4.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Emma Snead 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.7%
Kay Brunsvold 10.8% 9.4% 10.7% 9.4% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 7.1% 6.8% 5.8% 4.7% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9%
Torrey Chisari 9.4% 9.4% 8.2% 9.9% 10.4% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 6.3% 6.2% 5.5% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
Brooke Barry 3.9% 5.0% 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 8.8% 8.8% 10.5% 11.9% 12.2%
Aili Moffet 4.5% 5.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.9% 10.8%
Tiare Sierra 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 6.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.6% 8.5% 7.1% 7.1% 5.9% 3.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.6% 6.7% 8.9% 7.2% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 3.0%
Meredith Broadus 4.4% 4.3% 5.4% 4.9% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 7.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 12.4%
Grace Gear 4.0% 4.7% 6.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 6.7% 9.3% 9.8% 11.2% 11.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.2% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 7.8% 9.0% 7.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.5% 5.3% 4.5% 6.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.1% 12.8% 21.6%
Charlotte Costikyan 8.6% 10.5% 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 6.9% 7.7% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 5.5% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.