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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.75+1.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+0.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.16vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.67-1.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.17-3.24vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.02-2.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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2.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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3.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.76Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 27.6% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 23.0% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.