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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+7.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+5.45vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+6.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+6.63vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.49+5.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+1.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-0.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.60vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-3.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-5.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.27-4.59vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-8.22vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.52-1.77vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-3.66vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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10.63Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.18Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.23University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 41.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.