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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.44+5.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+3.53vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+2.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.34+2.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+0.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13-0.70vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-6.62vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.64-0.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-4.17vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-4.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of South Florida1.448.8%1st Place
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4.54Boston College1.5816.6%1st Place
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5.83University of Pennsylvania1.459.8%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University0.625.5%1st Place
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7.06Old Dominion University0.687.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.817.0%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College0.343.9%1st Place
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8.29Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University0.938.5%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont-0.133.6%1st Place
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4.38Brown University1.6916.3%1st Place
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11.32University of Michigan-0.641.8%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
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9.81Boston University-0.052.7%1st Place
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14.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 16.6% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Celia Houston | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 30.6% | 8.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 4.0% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.